What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 326 matches (Mar 2015 – Aug 2026), Dynamo Moscow drew 92 where the draw model expected 85.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 83.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 03 Mar 2024 → 25 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 30 Mar 2014 → 24 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 04 Oct 2014 → 23 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 29 Sep 2013 → 09 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 07 Oct 2012 → 09 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 15 Apr 2023 → 21 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 15 Oct 2022 → 01 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 28 Nov 2020 → 03 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 13 Sep 2020 → 08 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 11 May 2026 → 18 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 392 | 106 | 27.0% | 1 | 20 |
| UEFA Europa League | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2025 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 18 |
| 2023 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 6 |
| 2020 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 4 |
| 2018 | 27 | 11 | 40.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 34 | 15 | 44.1% | 3 |
| 2014 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2013 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 9 |
| 2012 | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | 9 |
| 2009 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1996 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1995 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1991 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 04 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Oct 11:00 |
Dynamo Moscow
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.