What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa League | 147 | 33 | 22.5% | 2 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 102 | 20 | 19.6% | 2 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 2021 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2017 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2012 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2011 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1999 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1998 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 328 matches (Sep 1958 – Oct 2026), GNK Dinamo Zagreb drew 69 where the draw model expected 68.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 70.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.