What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 14 May 2018 → 25 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 02 Jun 2017 → 13 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 06 Jul 2014 → 08 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 04 Oct 2016 → 14 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 01 Jun 2013 → 19 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 16 Feb 2018 → 16 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 09 Oct 2015 → 26 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 24 Aug 2012 → 02 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 04 Apr 2025 → 09 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 18 Oct 2024 → 03 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 501 | 141 | 28.1% | 4 | 24 |
| FAI Cup | 118 | 31 | 26.3% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2025 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2021 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2020 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2018 | 41 | 3 | 7.3% | 26 |
| 2017 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 17 |
| 2016 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2015 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2014 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 16 |
| 2013 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 2012 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2008 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 444 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Derry City drew 128 where the draw model expected 114.9 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 109.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.