What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 14 Feb 2015 → 18 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 08 Sep 1998 → 21 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 21 Jan 2020 → 20 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 03 Aug 2015 → 28 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 14 Jan 2017 → 10 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 24 May 2026 → 17 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 12 Jan 2025 → 29 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 16 Jul 2018 → 15 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 12 Aug 2017 → 24 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 04 May 2013 → 02 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 782 | 228 | 29.2% | 1 | 18 |
| Premier League | 621 | 162 | 26.1% | 4 | 23 |
| FA Cup | 294 | 75 | 25.5% | 1 | 6 |
| League Cup | 211 | 48 | 22.8% | 2 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| FA Community Shield | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 59 | 17 | 28.8% | 12 |
| 2024 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2023 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2022 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 5 |
| 2021 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2020 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2019 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2018 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2017 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 13 |
| 2016 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 15 |
| 2014 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2013 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 12 |
| 2012 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 8 |
| 2011 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 6 |
| 2010 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 11 |
| 2009 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2008 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2005 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2004 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2003 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 7 |
| 2002 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2001 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2000 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1999 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 6 |
| 1998 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 1997 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 1996 | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 8 |
| 1995 | 57 | 17 | 29.8% | 9 |
| 1994 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 12 |
| 1993 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 8 |
| 1992 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1991 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1990 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1982 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1979 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1978 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1973 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1968 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1938 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1926 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1913 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1912 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1907 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1906 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
Over 578 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Crystal Palace drew 143 where the draw model expected 143.2 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 143.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.