What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 27 Aug 1996 → 11 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 18 Apr 2009 → 14 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 19 Aug 2017 → 25 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 19 Aug 2006 → 18 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 22 Jan 2022 → 19 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 18 | 07 Mar 1998 → 08 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 29 Mar 2008 → 23 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 16 | 09 Mar 1996 → 20 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 15 | 26 Sep 2000 → 09 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 15 | 19 Apr 1994 → 24 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 598 | 131 | 21.9% | 1 | 25 |
| League Two | 553 | 142 | 25.7% | 0 | 28 |
| Championship | 368 | 89 | 24.2% | 2 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 253 | 59 | 23.3% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 154 | 35 | 22.7% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 54 | 20 | 37.0% | 12 |
| 2022 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 18 |
| 2021 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2019 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2017 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 19 |
| 2016 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2012 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2011 | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 14 |
| 2010 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 21 |
| 2008 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 16 |
| 2007 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 19 |
| 2005 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 2003 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2002 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 13 |
| 2001 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 15 |
| 1999 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 1998 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 18 |
| 1997 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 1996 | 55 | 4 | 7.3% | 25 |
| 1995 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 1994 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 1993 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 1992 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1991 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1989 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1974 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1960 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1892 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1891 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1889 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1888 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1887 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1886 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1885 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 577 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Crewe Alexandra drew 148 where the draw model expected 158.0 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 155.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.