Cowdenbeath
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 305 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Cowdenbeath drew 60 where the draw model expected 67.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 65.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 06 Oct 2007 → 18 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 07 May 2005 → 02 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 26 Mar 2019 → 05 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 13 Dec 1997 → 07 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 23 Apr 2016 → 17 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 13 Apr 2013 → 05 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 05 Aug 1997 → 22 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 03 Dec 2016 → 11 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 18 Oct 2014 → 03 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 15 Apr 2008 → 27 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 481 | 100 | 20.8% | 2 | 19 |
| Scottish League One | 252 | 64 | 25.4% | 2 | 21 |
| Scottish Championship | 144 | 31 | 21.5% | 10 | 12 |
| Scottish League Cup | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 47 | 6 | 12.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Scottish Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2023 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2022 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 11 |
| 2021 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 20 |
| 2018 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 12 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2016 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 14 |
| 2015 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 10 |
| 2014 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2013 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2012 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2011 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2010 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2009 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 39 | 3 | 7.7% | 13 |
| 2007 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 9 |
| 2005 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 20 |
| 2004 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2003 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2002 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2001 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 1999 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1998 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 13 |
| 1997 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 14 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Cowdenbeath
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.