What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 03 Nov 2012 → 02 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 10 Apr 2004 → 18 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 04 Apr 1994 → 13 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 28 Mar 2009 → 29 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 11 Sep 1993 → 11 Dec 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 01 Nov 2022 → 21 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 17 Dec 2005 → 11 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 27 Aug 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 31 Oct 2015 → 28 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 26 Feb 2011 → 16 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 736 | 210 | 28.5% | 1 | 20 |
| League Two | 686 | 208 | 30.3% | 2 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 195 | 45 | 23.1% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 137 | 25 | 18.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Championship | 92 | 26 | 28.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2024 | 46 | 24 | 52.2% | 6 |
| 2023 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 10 |
| 2021 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 6 |
| 2020 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 11 |
| 2014 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2013 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 11 |
| 2012 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 10 |
| 2011 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 11 |
| 2010 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2008 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2007 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2005 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2004 | 56 | 17 | 30.4% | 16 |
| 2003 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 10 |
| 2002 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 6 |
| 2001 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2000 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 1999 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 1998 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 11 |
| 1996 | 54 | 23 | 42.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 11 |
| 1994 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 15 |
| 1993 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 14 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1989 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1983 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1982 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1981 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1979 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1978 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1970 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 574 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Colchester United drew 167 where the draw model expected 159.4 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 155.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.