Chornomorets Odesa
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 255 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Chornomorets Odesa drew 62 where the draw model expected 65.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 64.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 02 Mar 2024 → 21 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 02 Nov 2024 → 10 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 31 Aug 2018 → 02 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 16 Apr 2023 → 20 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 29 Sep 1994 → 19 Aug 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 07 May 2016 → 11 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 08 Oct 2023 → 10 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 20 Sep 2013 → 04 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 19 Aug 1992 → 12 Apr 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 17 Mar 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 235 | 58 | 24.7% | 0 | 20 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 102 | 17 | 16.7% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2025 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 22 |
| 2023 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 14 |
| 2022 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2018 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 14 |
| 2017 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2015 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 2014 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 2013 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1995 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 1994 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1993 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.