What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 28 Jan 2017 → 29 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 27 Nov 1999 → 05 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 26 Aug 1997 → 21 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 23 Apr 1994 → 13 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 19 Oct 2008 → 13 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 09 Feb 2008 → 24 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 19 Sep 2015 → 10 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 24 Mar 2018 → 07 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 14 Jan 2006 → 25 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 02 Dec 1997 → 24 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 502 | 146 | 29.1% | 1 | 15 |
| National League | 230 | 56 | 24.3% | 8 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 188 | 34 | 18.1% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 114 | 24 | 21.1% | 1 | 4 |
| League One | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 4 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 17 |
| 2016 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2015 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2014 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2013 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2008 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2007 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2005 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 27 | 11 | 40.7% | 5 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 1999 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 1998 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 8 |
| 1997 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 12 |
| 1996 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 1995 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 8 |
| 1994 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 12 |
| 1993 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1992 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1990 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1979 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1978 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1974 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1891 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1890 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 164 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), Chester drew 41 where the draw model expected 42.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 41.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.