Chapecoense
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 286 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Chapecoense drew 84 where the draw model expected 78.9 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 76.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 09 Sep 2018 → 22 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 07 Dec 2014 → 21 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 14 Nov 2021 → 01 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 30 Jun 2021 → 10 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 06 Aug 2017 → 24 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Mar 2019 → 01 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 04 Jun 2017 → 25 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 14 May 2026 → 23 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 10 Nov 2019 → 05 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 02 Jul 2015 → 26 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 292 | 86 | 29.5% | 0 | 14 |
| Copa do Brasil | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2018 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 14 |
| 2017 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2016 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 4 |
| 2015 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 11 |
| 2014 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
