What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 30 Jan 2005 → 25 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 22 Jan 2006 → 03 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 24 Apr 2010 → 09 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 24 Feb 2002 → 01 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 05 Apr 2025 → 17 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Sep 2013 → 19 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 18 Mar 2007 → 17 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 19 Mar 2026 → 12 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Dec 2002 → 16 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 04 Mar 2017 → 16 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1045 | 287 | 27.5% | 1 | 18 |
| Segunda División | 252 | 77 | 30.6% | 0 | 21 |
| UEFA Europa League | 81 | 18 | 22.2% | 3 | 7 |
| Copa del Rey | 68 | 17 | 25.0% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 11 |
| 2025 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 13 |
| 2024 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2017 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 8 |
| 2015 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 13 |
| 2012 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 8 |
| 2010 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 16 |
| 2009 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2006 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 17 |
| 2005 | 41 | 3 | 7.3% | 26 |
| 2004 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 10 |
| 2003 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 16 |
| 2001 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2000 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 10 |
| 1999 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1998 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 1997 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 1996 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 4 |
| 1994 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 10 |
| 1993 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 542 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Celta Vigo drew 150 where the draw model expected 136.1 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 138.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.