What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 19 Mar 2022 → 19 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 16 Dec 2018 → 02 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 28 Mar 2024 → 22 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 01 Nov 2020 → 19 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 05 Sep 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 08 Jan 2023 → 19 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 13 Mar 2021 → 25 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 29 Dec 2024 → 15 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 16 Mar 2019 → 04 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 27 Aug 2017 → 04 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 240 | 65 | 27.1% | 5 | 15 |
| Serie B | 86 | 27 | 31.4% | 8 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2024 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2023 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 15 |
| 2021 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2020 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 2019 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2018 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2017 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 337 matches (Jul 2016 – Nov 2026), Carrarese Calcio drew 94 where the draw model expected 102.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 102.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.