What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 521 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), İstanbul Başakşehir drew 137 where the draw model expected 125.9 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 126.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 15 Feb 2025 → 05 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 15 May 2021 → 20 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 07 Dec 2008 → 21 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 15 Aug 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Feb 2010 → 01 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 30 May 2023 → 28 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 30 Nov 2017 → 29 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 08 Mar 2008 → 10 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 10 Aug 2007 → 20 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 17 Oct 2020 → 24 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 634 | 156 | 24.6% | 3 | 14 |
| Turkish Cup | 108 | 33 | 30.6% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Conference League | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 2025 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 16 |
| 2024 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2023 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2022 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 14 |
| 2020 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2019 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2018 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2015 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 11 |
| 2014 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2013 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2011 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2010 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2009 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2008 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2007 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 10:30 |
Konyaspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 16:00 |
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 26 Oct 16:00 |
Besiktas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 13:00 |
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 16:00 |
Göztepe
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.