☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Played
1,093
Draw %
24.9%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
18
18 Apr 2015 → 26 Sep 2015
Avg top run
13.9
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
34.0%
p100
31.0%
Draw score
0.089
rank #1,606
Draws
272
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,582
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,687
reached 5 Oct 2019
Rank
#623
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,093
last 17 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 18 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 598 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Burton Albion drew 151 where the draw model expected 162.8 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 157.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 18
18 Apr 2015 → 26 Sep 2015
2 16
15 Dec 2020 → 13 Mar 2021
3 15
03 Dec 2016 → 18 Feb 2017
4 14
09 Oct 2021 → 01 Jan 2022
5 14
10 Apr 2018 → 01 Sep 2018
6 14
13 Oct 2008 → 17 Jan 2009
7 13
27 Aug 2014 → 25 Oct 2014
8 12
27 Oct 2018 → 26 Dec 2018
9 12
04 Apr 2009 → 29 Aug 2009
10 11
17 Dec 2022 → 18 Feb 2023
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 18 Apr 2015 → 26 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 15 Dec 2020 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 03 Dec 2016 → 18 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 09 Oct 2021 → 01 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 10 Apr 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 13 Oct 2008 → 17 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 27 Aug 2014 → 25 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 27 Oct 2018 → 26 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 04 Apr 2009 → 29 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 17 Dec 2022 → 18 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 414 | 111 | 26.8% | 0 | 16 |
| League Two | 276 | 73 | 26.5% | 3 | 12 |
| National League | 180 | 40 | 22.2% | 6 | 14 |
| Championship | 92 | 24 | 26.1% | 5 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 73 | 15 | 20.5% | 0 | 4 |
| League Cup | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 2 | 5 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2024 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 9 |
| 2021 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2020 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2019 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2018 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 14 |
| 2017 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2016 | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2015 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 18 |
| 2014 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 13 |
| 2013 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2012 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2011 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 10 |
| 2010 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 2009 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 12 |
| 2008 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2007 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2006 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 2005 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Oct 18:45 |
Burton Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Burton Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Wycombe Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Burton Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.