What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 488 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Brøndby IF drew 114 where the draw model expected 119.7 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 Apr 2016 → 29 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 26 Jul 2020 → 13 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 13 Nov 2022 → 14 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 28 Jul 2019 → 22 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 23 Jul 2023 → 08 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 04 May 2017 → 06 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 29 Sep 2019 → 08 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 01 May 2008 → 12 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 15 May 2022 → 04 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 07 Nov 2021 → 06 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 478 | 118 | 24.7% | 8 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 132 | 28 | 21.2% | 2 | 8 |
| Danish Cup | 63 | 19 | 30.2% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 1 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2023 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2022 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2021 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2020 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 2019 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2018 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2017 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 12 |
| 2016 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 15 |
| 2015 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 4 |
| 2012 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 5 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 2006 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2002 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2001 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1999 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1995 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1989 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 15:30 |
Brøndby IF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.