Bristol City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 18 Oct 2026.
Over 614 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Bristol City drew 158 where the draw model expected 168.7 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 164.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 28 Nov 2020 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 10 Aug 2002 → 29 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 20 Sep 2005 → 17 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 25 Jan 2011 → 09 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 06 May 2006 → 26 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 16 Dec 2003 → 28 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 29 Dec 2018 → 26 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 29 Dec 2012 → 23 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Nov 1994 → 31 Dec 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 03 Sep 1994 → 22 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 931 | 255 | 27.4% | 2 | 23 |
| League One | 598 | 170 | 28.4% | 2 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 309 | 78 | 25.2% | 0 | 5 |
| League Cup | 172 | 39 | 22.7% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 2024 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 2022 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2021 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 17 |
| 2020 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 11 |
| 2018 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 55 | 15 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 10 |
| 2015 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2011 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 13 |
| 2010 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2009 | 47 | 18 | 38.3% | 7 |
| 2008 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 2006 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2005 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 15 |
| 2004 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2003 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 6 |
| 2002 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 17 |
| 2001 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 2000 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1999 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1997 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 10 |
| 1996 | 56 | 17 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 1994 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 1993 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 1992 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1991 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1989 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1986 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1960 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1946 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1915 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1909 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1900 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1899 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · League Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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· ENG · FA Cup
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|||||
| ☆ 04 Jan 1964 |
Doncaster Rovers
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 07 Dec 1963 |
Exeter City
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 16 Nov 1963 | Corby Town | 1–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 04 Sep 1963 |
Gillingham
|
4–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 07 Mar 1963 |
Aston Villa
|
3–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 16 Jan 1963 |
Bristol City
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 24 Nov 1962 |
Bristol City
|
2–1 | Wimbledon | H |
|
| ☆ 03 Nov 1962 |
Bristol City
|
4–2 | Telford United | H |
|
| ☆ 25 Sep 1962 |
Bristol City
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 09 Jan 1962 |
Walsall
|
4–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 06 Jan 1962 |
Bristol City
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 25 Nov 1961 |
Bristol City
|
8–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 08 Nov 1961 |
Hereford United
|
2–5 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 04 Nov 1961 |
Bristol City
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 13 Sep 1961 |
York City
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 31 Jan 1961 |
Leicester City
|
5–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 07 Jan 1961 |
Plymouth Argyle
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 29 Nov 1960 |
Bristol City
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 26 Nov 1960 |
King’s Lynn Town
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 15 Nov 1960 |
Nottingham Forest
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 05 Nov 1960 |
Bristol City
|
11–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 25 Oct 1960 |
Bristol City
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 10 Oct 1960 |
Aldershot Town
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 09 Jan 1960 |
Bristol City
|
2–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 28 Jan 1959 |
Blackpool
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 24 Jan 1959 |
Bristol City
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 19 Jan 1959 |
Doncaster Rovers
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 15 Feb 1958 |
Bristol City
|
3–4 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 25 Jan 1958 |
Notts County
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 07 Jan 1958 |
Bristol City
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 04 Jan 1958 |
Accrington Stanley
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 16 Feb 1957 |
Aston Villa
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 26 Jan 1957 |
Bristol City
|
3–0 | Rhyl | H |
|
| ☆ 05 Jan 1957 |
Bristol City
|
4–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 07 Jan 1956 |
Everton
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 20 Nov 1954 |
Bristol City
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 09 Jan 1954 |
Bristol City
|
1–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 12 Dec 1953 | Rhyl | 0–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 21 Nov 1953 |
Torquay United
|
1–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 22 Nov 1952 |
Coventry City
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Stoke City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Bolton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.0% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 04 Nov 20:00 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 12:30 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.9% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Middlesbrough
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 19:45 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.