Brechin City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 280 matches (Jan 2015 – Jul 2026), Brechin City drew 50 where the draw model expected 59.1 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 61.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 10 Mar 2009 → 17 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 27 Aug 2016 → 28 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 14 Apr 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 06 Oct 2018 → 23 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 13 Jan 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 20 Feb 2016 → 23 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 23 Nov 2004 → 26 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 14 Dec 2013 → 01 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 13 Feb 2010 → 17 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 16 Feb 1999 → 08 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 540 | 127 | 23.5% | 0 | 21 |
| Scottish League Two | 193 | 37 | 19.2% | 1 | 17 |
| Scottish Championship | 108 | 24 | 22.2% | 16 | 16 |
| Scottish Cup | 64 | 16 | 25.0% | 3 | 4 |
| Scottish League Cup | 62 | 8 | 12.9% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2020 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 12 |
| 2019 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2018 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 17 |
| 2017 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 16 |
| 2015 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2014 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2012 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2011 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2010 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 13 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 23 |
| 2008 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2007 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2005 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2004 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2003 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 10 |
| 2002 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 36 | 3 | 8.3% | 18 |
| 2000 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 1999 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 13 |
| 1998 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Brechin City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.1% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.