What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 29 Nov 2025 → 14 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 21 Oct 2017 → 03 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 22 Nov 2003 → 09 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 19 Oct 2002 → 01 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 19 Apr 2008 → 27 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 28 Aug 2004 → 30 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 09 Mar 1996 → 26 Apr 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 25 Nov 1995 → 31 Jan 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 15 Aug 2007 → 12 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 04 May 1996 → 21 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 611 | 172 | 28.2% | 1 | 21 |
| League Two | 543 | 153 | 28.2% | 2 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 284 | 68 | 23.9% | 1 | 6 |
| Championship | 276 | 62 | 22.5% | 9 | 18 |
| League Cup | 179 | 47 | 26.3% | 2 | 5 |
| Premier League | 76 | 20 | 26.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 15 |
| 2025 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 10 |
| 2018 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2017 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2016 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 58 | 19 | 32.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 5 |
| 2012 | 57 | 19 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2010 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 11 |
| 2006 | 50 | 20 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 52 | 20 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2004 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 12 |
| 2003 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2002 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 13 |
| 2001 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2000 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 6 |
| 1999 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 9 |
| 1998 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 1997 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1996 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 1995 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 10 |
| 1994 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 1993 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1990 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1987 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1983 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1979 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1978 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1976 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1972 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1969 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1968 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1959 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1915 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1914 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1910 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1909 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1908 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1906 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 593 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Bradford City drew 168 where the draw model expected 166.9 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 158.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.