What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 16 Feb 2025 → 23 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 15 Aug 2016 → 13 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 28 Oct 2022 → 21 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 29 May 2015 → 21 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 23 Feb 2024 → 26 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 02 Aug 2020 → 09 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 13 Jul 2018 → 22 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 25 Mar 2017 → 26 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 05 May 2000 → 11 Jul 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 08 May 2026 → 03 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 501 | 123 | 24.6% | 9 | 21 |
| FAI Cup | 272 | 62 | 22.8% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2025 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 21 |
| 2024 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 11 |
| 2023 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2020 | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 11 |
| 2019 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2017 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 11 |
| 2016 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 12 |
| 2015 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2014 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2013 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2011 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2010 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1976 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1975 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1944 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1942 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1941 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1935 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1928 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 443 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Bohemian drew 99 where the draw model expected 115.9 from those particular fixtures — about 17 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 109.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.