What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 Aug 2023 → 29 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 30 Jul 2022 → 05 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 02 Dec 2006 → 10 Feb 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 13 Sep 2003 → 20 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 13 Feb 2016 → 05 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 04 Jan 2025 → 22 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 12 Sep 2009 → 25 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Jan 2006 → 25 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 02 Mar 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 29 Apr 2017 → 16 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 704 | 202 | 28.7% | 6 | 32 |
| Premier League | 654 | 173 | 26.5% | 11 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 423 | 98 | 23.2% | 0 | 7 |
| League Cup | 200 | 39 | 19.5% | 2 | 6 |
| League One | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 4 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
| FA Community Shield | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 7 |
| 2025 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 26 |
| 2022 | 54 | 8 | 14.8% | 22 |
| 2021 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2018 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 2016 | 59 | 15 | 25.4% | 13 |
| 2015 | 56 | 20 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2014 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2011 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2009 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 12 |
| 2008 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2007 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2006 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2005 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2004 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 10 |
| 2003 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2002 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 11 |
| 2001 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 9 |
| 1999 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 8 |
| 1997 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 6 |
| 1996 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 1995 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 1994 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 1993 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1986 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1962 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 4 |
| 1961 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1935 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1929 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1928 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1925 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1922 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1913 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1912 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1910 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1909 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1903 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1902 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1899 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1898 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1894 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1893 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1892 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1891 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1890 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1889 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1888 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1886 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1885 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1884 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1883 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1882 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 |
| 1881 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1880 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1879 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 620 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Blackburn Rovers drew 160 where the draw model expected 170.2 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 165.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.