Berliner FC Dynamo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 146 matches (Sep 1971 – Sep 2026), Berliner FC Dynamo drew 43 where the draw model expected 34.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 34.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 09 Mar 2024 → 13 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 14 Sep 1983 → 21 Mar 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 03 Dec 2022 → 04 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 01 Sep 1981 → 04 Nov 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 25 Nov 2023 → 04 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 03 Mar 2023 → 02 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 20 Oct 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 06 Aug 2022 → 26 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 25 Aug 2026 → 10 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 24 Jul 2026 → 06 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regionalliga Nordost | 79 | 24 | 30.4% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| DFB-Pokal | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2023 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 4 |
| 2022 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.