1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Over 161 matches (Jul 1963 – Oct 2026), 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig drew 40 where the draw model expected 37.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 36.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 18 Sep 2022 → 27 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 21 May 2023 → 15 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 15 Jul 1973 → 04 Nov 1973 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 09 Dec 2023 → 23 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 04 Aug 2026 → 30 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 19 Aug 1966 → 04 Oct 1966 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 27 Apr 2024 → 19 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 03 Mar 1982 → 29 Jul 1982 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 19 Aug 1981 → 30 Sep 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 21 Apr 2023 → 05 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regionalliga Nordost | 81 | 22 | 27.2% | 0 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 2 | 5 |
| DFB-Pokal | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2023 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 10 |
| 2022 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1986 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 28 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 13 Feb 2027
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 20 Feb 2027
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 12:00 |
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 11:00 |
Hallescher FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 12:00 |
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 12:00 |
FSV Zwickau
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 12:00 |
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Nov 12:00 |
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec 12:00 |
1. FC Magdeburg II
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec 12:00 |
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 13 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 13 Feb 12:00 |
Hertha BSC II
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 20 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Feb 12:00 |
1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.