What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 27 Mar 2025 → 10 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 10 Feb 2022 → 19 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 02 May 2026 → 27 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 30 Jul 2023 → 25 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 22 Aug 2024 → 29 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 Aug 2022 → 09 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 03 Jul 2022 → 26 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 27 May 2024 → 19 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 09 Feb 2026 → 25 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 09 Mar 2024 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 147 | 57 | 38.8% | 0 | 11 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 1 | 11 |
| Copa Argentina | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 9 |
| 2025 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 12 |
| 2024 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 203 matches (Apr 2019 – Nov 2026), Barracas Central drew 70 where the draw model expected 63.0 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 61.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.