☆
· ARG · Liga Profesional
Team ☆
all results ›
ARG · Club
Barracas Central
Barracas Central
Played
206
Draw %
34.9%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
12
27 Mar 2025 → 10 Aug 2025
Avg top run
7.0
top 10
Draw debt E
1.12
p50
38.0%
p100
37.0%
Draw score
0.298
rank #418
Draws
72
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,570
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,590
reached 2 Aug 2026
Rank
#700
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
206
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 200 matches (Apr 2019 – Oct 2026), Barracas Central drew 68 where the draw model expected 62.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 60.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
27 Mar 2025 → 10 Aug 2025
2 11
10 Feb 2022 → 19 Apr 2022
3 9
02 May 2026 → 27 Aug 2026
4 7
30 Jul 2023 → 25 Sep 2023
5 6
22 Aug 2024 → 29 Sep 2024
6 6
13 Aug 2022 → 09 Sep 2022
7 6
03 Jul 2022 → 26 Jul 2022
8 5
27 May 2024 → 19 Jul 2024
9 4
09 Feb 2026 → 25 Feb 2026
10 4
09 Mar 2024 → 07 Apr 2024
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 27 Mar 2025 → 10 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 10 Feb 2022 → 19 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 02 May 2026 → 27 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 30 Jul 2023 → 25 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 22 Aug 2024 → 29 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 Aug 2022 → 09 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 03 Jul 2022 → 26 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 27 May 2024 → 19 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 09 Feb 2026 → 25 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 09 Mar 2024 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 144 | 55 | 38.2% | 3 | 11 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 1 | 11 |
| Copa Argentina | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 9 |
| 2025 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 12 |
| 2024 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Matches
all results ›
206 matches · page 1 / 6
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next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 19 Oct 22:00 |
Sarmiento de Junín
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 00:30 |
Barracas Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 21:30 |
Belgrano de Córdoba
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 20:00 |
Barracas Central
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.