Austin FC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 214 matches (Apr 2021 – Sep 2026), Austin FC drew 55 where the draw model expected 55.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 53.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 02 Jul 2021 → 13 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 10 May 2023 → 25 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 03 Oct 2024 → 30 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 14 May 2026 → 20 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 22 Sep 2025 → 03 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 14 Aug 2022 → 15 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 13 Apr 2025 → 11 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 23 Mar 2024 → 27 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 09 Jul 2023 → 31 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 17 Apr 2021 → 24 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 204 | 51 | 25.0% | 0 | 26 |
| US Open Cup | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2024 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 23 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 00:30 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 02:30 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 00:30 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 00:30 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 00:30 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 21:00 |
LA Galaxy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.