Atlanta United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 367 matches (Feb 2017 – Sep 2026), Atlanta United drew 95 where the draw model expected 90.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 92.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 Jul 2019 → 26 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 19 Aug 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 08 Aug 2021 → 17 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 30 Mar 2019 → 01 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 21 May 2017 → 22 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 06 Oct 2019 → 29 Aug 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 05 Apr 2026 → 10 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 01 Nov 2023 → 31 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 25 Jun 2023 → 31 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 11 Feb 2017 → 18 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 342 | 90 | 26.3% | 0 | 16 |
| US Open Cup | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 3 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 9 |
| 2025 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2024 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2023 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2021 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 12 |
| 2020 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 2019 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 16 |
| 2018 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 15 |
| 2017 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Atlanta United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 23:30 |
CF Montréal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 23:30 |
Atlanta United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 23:30 |
Atlanta United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 23:30 |
New York City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 21:30 |
Atlanta United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
New York Red Bulls
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.