What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 20 Oct 2015 → 17 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 27 Oct 2024 → 03 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 24 Nov 2018 → 16 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 14 Dec 2021 → 19 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 09 Feb 2013 → 27 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 09 Oct 2023 → 07 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 20 Dec 2025 → 08 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 19 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 02 Feb 2014 → 29 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 30 Oct 2011 → 11 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 613 | 178 | 29.0% | 1 | 15 |
| Greek Football Cup | 91 | 20 | 22.0% | 4 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 26 | 11 | 42.3% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 2025 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2023 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2022 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 12 |
| 2021 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 3 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2015 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 16 |
| 2014 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 2013 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 14 |
| 2012 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 10 |
| 2011 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2010 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2008 | 33 | 15 | 45.5% | 7 |
| 2007 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 448 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Asteras Tripolis drew 129 where the draw model expected 114.8 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 107.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.