What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 06 Dec 2008 → 04 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 14 Oct 2001 → 23 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 30 May 2009 → 28 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 14 Mar 2004 → 16 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 03 Mar 2002 → 12 May 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 14 Sep 2022 → 29 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 19 Sep 2021 → 23 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 12 Jan 2003 → 09 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Mar 2001 → 12 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 08 Oct 2000 → 19 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 236 | 62 | 26.3% | 0 | 18 |
| Serie C | 114 | 31 | 27.2% | 0 | 9 |
| Serie A | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2023 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2022 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 15 |
| 2008 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 2003 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2002 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2001 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2000 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 1998 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 4 |
| 1997 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 4 |
Over 118 matches (Aug 2015 – Apr 2024), Ancona Calcio drew 31 where the draw model expected 35.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 35.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.