What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 01 Oct 2000 → 28 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 02 Oct 1999 → 23 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 07 Mar 2004 → 09 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 21 Feb 1999 → 16 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 29 Nov 2025 → 25 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 27 May 2001 → 30 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 21 Sep 2003 → 09 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 26 Jan 2002 → 10 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 22 Mar 2026 → 02 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 19 Mar 2000 → 22 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 214 | 48 | 22.4% | 6 | 14 |
| Taça de Portugal | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 5 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 10 |
| 2003 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 2002 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 8 |
| 2000 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 1999 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 10 |
| 1998 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% | 3 |
Over 223 matches (Aug 1998 – Nov 2026), Alverca drew 51 where the draw model expected 57.0 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 56.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.