What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 411 matches (Sep 2015 – Sep 2026), Alanyaspor drew 107 where the draw model expected 99.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 101.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 18 May 2018 → 04 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 25 Feb 2017 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 09 Apr 2023 → 14 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Mar 2022 → 07 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 24 Sep 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 03 May 2021 → 23 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 08 Mar 2021 → 22 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 17 Dec 2019 → 05 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 Dec 2017 → 09 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 05 Nov 2021 → 22 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 364 | 95 | 26.1% | 1 | 15 |
| Turkish Cup | 80 | 16 | 20.0% | 4 | 14 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2022 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 9 |
| 2020 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 17 |
| 2017 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 15 |
| 2016 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:00 |
Alanyaspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 16:00 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.3% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 17:00 |
Alanyaspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Mon, 02 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Nov 17:00 |
Gençlerbirliği
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:30 |
Alanyaspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.