What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 Dec 2016 → 27 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 29 Sep 2018 → 29 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 05 Oct 2013 → 18 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 09 May 2026 → 02 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 04 Oct 2014 → 10 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 22 Sep 2010 → 29 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 03 Apr 1999 → 18 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 18 Jan 2023 → 07 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 17 Sep 2022 → 28 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 02 Mar 2016 → 05 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 1207 | 287 | 23.8% | 4 | 26 |
| Scottish Cup | 89 | 22 | 24.7% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 86 | 28 | 32.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish League Cup | 78 | 12 | 15.4% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 4 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 16 |
| 2025 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 13 |
| 2023 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 14 |
| 2022 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2021 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2019 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 12 |
| 2018 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 17 |
| 2017 | 51 | 5 | 9.8% | 23 |
| 2016 | 48 | 6 | 12.5% | 14 |
| 2015 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 12 |
| 2013 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 13 |
| 2012 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 9 |
| 2011 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2010 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 15 |
| 2009 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2008 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 10 |
| 2007 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2006 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2005 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2004 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 11 |
| 2003 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2002 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2001 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 2000 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 1999 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 15 |
| 1998 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 7 |
| 1996 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 5 |
| 1995 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 1994 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1981 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 568 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Aberdeen drew 121 where the draw model expected 134.3 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 130.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.