Jevnaker IF

A run of consecutive matches without a draw.

non-draws in a row

04 May 1994 → 11 Sep 1994

Was this a feat, or a coincidence? how this is worked out ›

Draws the model expected 4.5 across these 22 fixtures, one chance each

A flat league rate expected 5.4 the same question, asked without knowing the fixtures

Chance of no draw at all 1 in 150 for this run alone — and that overstates it

Runs this long, expected anywhere 366.50 across every run in the database

Each match gets its own draw chance from the five-feature logistic draw model, recalibrated by its isotonic map, and the run's own probability is those chances multiplied — the Poisson-binomial reading. A binomial at the run's average chance would have called it 1.01× more likely, which is the direction that error always goes. The last tile is the figure to quote: a run picked out because it is long is not a coincidence you get to be surprised by — why that is, and what the same question says about every other record here. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Matches in this run

Date	Home	Score	Away	R	Tournament
the draw before the run
01 May 1994	Jevnaker IF	1–1	Fyllingen Fotball	D	NOR · 1. divisjon
04 May 1994	Eidsvold TF	2–5	Jevnaker IF	A	NOR · Norwegian Football Cup
08 May 1994	SK Vard Haugesund	5–1	Jevnaker IF	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
16 May 1994	Jevnaker IF	3–1	FK Vidar	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
19 May 1994	Jevnaker IF	3–0	Strømmen IF	H	NOR · Norwegian Football Cup
23 May 1994	Bryne FK	1–3	Jevnaker IF	A	NOR · 1. divisjon
29 May 1994	Jevnaker IF	0–2	FK Eik Tønsberg	A	NOR · 1. divisjon
05 Jun 1994	Molde FK	5–1	Jevnaker IF	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
08 Jun 1994	Jevnaker IF	1–0	Stabæk Fotball	H	NOR · Norwegian Football Cup
12 Jun 1994	Jevnaker IF	3–1	Åndalsnes IF	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
19 Jun 1994	Mjøndalen IF	0–3	Jevnaker IF	A	NOR · 1. divisjon
26 Jun 1994	Jevnaker IF	1–3	IL Hødd	A	NOR · 1. divisjon
03 Jul 1994	Jevnaker IF	5–1	Åsane Fotball	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
09 Jul 1994	Fana IL	3–1	Jevnaker IF	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
17 Jul 1994	Fyllingen Fotball	0–3	Jevnaker IF	A	NOR · 1. divisjon
20 Jul 1994	Molde FK	4–3	Jevnaker IF	H	NOR · Norwegian Football Cup
24 Jul 1994	Jevnaker IF	0–1	SK Vard Haugesund	A	NOR · 1. divisjon
07 Aug 1994	FK Vidar	2–1	Jevnaker IF	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
14 Aug 1994	Jevnaker IF	4–1	Bryne FK	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
21 Aug 1994	FK Eik Tønsberg	2–0	Jevnaker IF	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
28 Aug 1994	Jevnaker IF	0–4	Molde FK	A	NOR · 1. divisjon
04 Sep 1994	Åndalsnes IF	2–0	Jevnaker IF	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
11 Sep 1994	Jevnaker IF	4–3	Mjøndalen IF	H	NOR · 1. divisjon
the draw that ended it
18 Sep 1994	IL Hødd	1–1	Jevnaker IF	D	NOR · 1. divisjon