What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 30 Aug 2019 → 21 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 13 Feb 2021 → 16 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 30 Jan 2016 → 20 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 01 Sep 2012 → 17 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 23 Apr 2026 → 29 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 16 Dec 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 14 May 2025 → 21 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 17 Apr 2018 → 26 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 29 Oct 2014 → 17 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 13 Mar 2019 → 12 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 513 | 128 | 25.0% | 1 | 18 |
| KNVB Cup | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2025 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2023 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2021 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 13 |
| 2020 | 25 | 11 | 44.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 16 |
| 2018 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2015 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2014 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 3 |
| 2003 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 2002 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 9 |
Over 399 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), PEC Zwolle drew 89 where the draw model expected 87.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 91.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.