What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 Nov 1995 → 15 May 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 09 Dec 2023 → 07 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 26 Apr 1997 → 24 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 25 Mar 2019 → 20 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 28 Mar 1998 → 20 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 19 May 1995 → 29 Aug 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 07 Dec 1996 → 06 Apr 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 05 Feb 2022 → 20 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 03 Oct 2020 → 14 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 25 Mar 2017 → 30 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 227 | 67 | 29.5% | 1 | 10 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 136 | 37 | 27.2% | 0 | 16 |
| Regionalliga Nordost | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 2 | 14 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| DFB-Pokal | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 11 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 4 |
| 2022 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2021 | 44 | 20 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 2020 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2018 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2016 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 1997 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 1996 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 11 |
| 1995 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 1994 | 17 | 10 | 58.8% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 280 matches (Jul 2016 – Oct 2026), FSV Zwickau drew 77 where the draw model expected 77.4 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 75.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.