What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 08 May 2001 → 13 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 17 Nov 1999 → 31 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 04 Jul 2002 → 21 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Mar 1999 → 06 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 29 Aug 1999 → 17 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 24 May 1999 → 04 Jul 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 30 Oct 2002 → 15 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 20 May 2002 → 15 Jun 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 07 Apr 2001 → 22 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 22 Oct 2000 → 04 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 98 | 16 | 16.3% | 4 | 25 |
| Armenian Cup | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 14 |
| 2001 | 25 | 1 | 4.0% | 20 |
| 2000 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 14 |
| 1999 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 123 matches (Mar 1998 – Nov 2002), Zvartnots-AAL drew 19 where the draw model expected 23.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 24.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.