Zenit Saint Petersburg
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 428 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Zenit Saint Petersburg drew 100 where the draw model expected 94.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 107.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 02 Oct 2016 → 30 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 22 Oct 2014 → 07 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 23 Nov 2025 → 04 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 16 Sep 2018 → 25 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 04 Aug 2010 → 19 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Aug 2021 → 02 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 16 Apr 2017 → 06 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 11 May 2014 → 20 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 09 Mar 2016 → 11 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 23 May 2015 → 29 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 422 | 100 | 23.7% | 6 | 13 |
| UEFA Europa League | 117 | 21 | 18.0% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 68 | 15 | 22.1% | 0 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 10 |
| 2025 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 12 |
| 2020 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2018 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2016 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 15 |
| 2015 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2014 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 13 |
| 2013 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2012 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 9 |
| 2011 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2010 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2007 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2004 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 04 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Oct 16:00 |
Zenit Saint Petersburg
|
vs | BATE Borisov | – / – / – | 15.9% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.