What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 02 Oct 2016 → 30 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 22 Oct 2014 → 07 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 23 Nov 2025 → 04 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 16 Sep 2018 → 25 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 04 Aug 2010 → 19 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Aug 2021 → 02 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 16 Apr 2017 → 06 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 11 May 2014 → 20 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 09 Mar 2016 → 11 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 23 May 2015 → 29 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 422 | 100 | 23.7% | 6 | 13 |
| UEFA Europa League | 117 | 21 | 18.0% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 68 | 15 | 22.1% | 0 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 1 | 7 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 12 |
| 2020 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2018 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2016 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 15 |
| 2015 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2014 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 13 |
| 2013 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2012 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 9 |
| 2011 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2010 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2007 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2004 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 429 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Zenit Saint Petersburg drew 100 where the draw model expected 94.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 107.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.