What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 21 Mar 2012 → 29 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 02 Mar 2011 → 28 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 02 Feb 2003 → 04 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 03 Oct 2001 → 06 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 21 Sep 2025 → 30 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 08 Sep 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 11 Feb 2018 → 21 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 15 May 1998 → 15 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 08 Dec 2019 → 29 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 23 Sep 2007 → 14 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 692 | 196 | 28.3% | 3 | 24 |
| Segunda División | 630 | 203 | 32.2% | 1 | 14 |
| Copa del Rey | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 2 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 6 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 11 |
| 2023 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2022 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2020 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2018 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 6 |
| 2015 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 2014 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 4 |
| 2013 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2012 | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | 26 |
| 2011 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2010 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 5 |
| 2009 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2008 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2007 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 10 |
| 2006 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2005 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2004 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2003 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 14 |
| 2002 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2001 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 13 |
| 2000 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 1999 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 1997 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 1996 | 45 | 20 | 44.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1994 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 8 |
| 1993 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1968 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1967 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 513 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Real Zaragoza drew 162 where the draw model expected 156.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 152.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.