What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 14 Apr 2018 → 14 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 16 May 2021 → 18 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 14 Jun 2020 → 14 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 16 Apr 2016 → 31 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 Oct 2022 → 11 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 06 Nov 2021 → 18 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 15 Feb 2021 → 21 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 28 Oct 2015 → 18 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 23 Feb 2026 → 24 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 08 Apr 2024 → 20 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 464 | 114 | 24.6% | 0 | 15 |
| Polish Cup | 110 | 30 | 27.3% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2025 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2020 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2019 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 15 |
| 2017 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 12 |
| 2015 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2014 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 432 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), Zagłębie Lubin drew 108 where the draw model expected 119.0 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 114.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.