What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 20 Apr 2019 → 25 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 18 Jul 2018 → 02 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 12 Apr 2025 → 25 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 14 Jul 2024 → 05 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 30 Aug 2025 → 06 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 03 May 2023 → 02 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 17 Oct 2020 → 26 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 21 May 2022 → 06 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 05 Oct 2019 → 23 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 18 Apr 2015 → 23 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 499 | 116 | 23.3% | 0 | 22 |
| Emperor's Cup | 74 | 25 | 33.8% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 2025 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2024 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2023 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2022 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 9 |
| 2021 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2019 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 23 |
| 2018 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 20 |
| 2017 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2014 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2011 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 429 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Yokohama F. Marinos drew 96 where the draw model expected 105.6 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 105.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.