What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16 May 2015 → 05 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 26 Sep 2015 → 14 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 02 Mar 2019 → 06 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 25 Apr 2015 → 06 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 14 Mar 2015 → 12 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 03 Sep 2011 → 17 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 10 Nov 2019 → 30 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 15 Jun 2019 → 29 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 20 Apr 2019 → 04 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 21 Jun 2017 → 20 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 68 | 20 | 29.4% | 0 | 14 |
| Emperor's Cup | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 16 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 106 matches (Sep 2006 – Jun 2025), Matsumoto Yamaga drew 28 where the draw model expected 25.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 24.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.