What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 23 Jul 2023 → 09 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 20 Sep 2022 → 04 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 15 Jun 2022 → 28 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 05 May 2024 → 07 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 10 Aug 2025 → 26 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 29 Sep 2024 → 28 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 14 Dec 2022 → 15 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 05 Apr 2026 → 25 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 24 Oct 2025 → 13 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 20 May 2025 → 25 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 153 | 38 | 24.8% | 2 | 18 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 14 | 45.2% | 5 |
| 2025 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 14 |
| 2022 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 14 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 164 matches (Aug 2021 – Oct 2026), Wuhan Three Towns drew 40 where the draw model expected 38.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 41.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.