What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 01 May 2004 → 27 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 02 Feb 2003 → 02 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 10 Nov 2019 → 04 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 31 Oct 2007 → 03 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 22 Oct 2022 → 12 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 30 Aug 2015 → 28 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 22 Nov 2006 → 17 Feb 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 19 Mar 2005 → 24 Aug 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 21 Mar 1998 → 09 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 31 Jan 2025 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 1096 | 268 | 24.5% | 2 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 99 | 24 | 24.2% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 66 | 14 | 21.2% | 3 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 59 | 8 | 13.6% | 2 | 9 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 4 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 3 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2025 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 12 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2017 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2012 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2011 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2010 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2009 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2008 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 5 |
| 2007 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 13 |
| 2006 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | 13 |
| 2004 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 17 |
| 2003 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 17 |
| 2002 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 6 |
| 2001 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 2000 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 1999 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 1998 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 13 |
| 1997 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 8 |
| 1996 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 1995 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 1994 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1993 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 1992 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 451 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Werder Bremen drew 114 where the draw model expected 106.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 112.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.