What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 19 Oct 1997 → 17 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 29 Nov 1998 → 04 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 13 Apr 1996 → 02 Jun 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 26 Mar 1994 → 20 Aug 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 20 Oct 1995 → 10 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 09 May 1999 → 17 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 18 Jun 1995 → 29 Aug 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 23 Apr 1995 → 28 May 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 09 Oct 1994 → 13 Nov 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 29 Mar 1998 → 24 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 136 | 37 | 27.2% | 6 | 13 |
| Bundesliga | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 1997 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 1996 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1995 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1994 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 9 |
| 1993 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 5 |
Over 171 matches (Aug 1993 – Aug 2016), SG Wattenscheid 09 drew 48 where the draw model expected 46.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 46.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.