What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 20 Nov 2021 → 30 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 10 Jan 2024 → 18 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 13 Nov 2022 → 05 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 09 Mar 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 25 Feb 2023 → 07 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 02 Sep 2022 → 09 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 02 Apr 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 24 Nov 2023 → 08 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 21 Oct 2023 → 05 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 27 Aug 2023 → 16 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 102 | 30 | 29.4% | 0 | 9 |
| Taça de Portugal | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 2 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2023 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 6 |
Over 114 matches (Aug 2021 – Oct 2026), Vizela drew 32 where the draw model expected 28.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.