What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 Mar 2024 → 26 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 05 Mar 2023 → 23 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 16 Feb 2022 → 03 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 21 Oct 2020 → 29 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 29 Mar 2026 → 05 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 12 Dec 2020 → 30 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 12 Dec 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 26 Jan 2019 → 23 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 12 Jan 2025 → 07 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 22 Nov 2024 → 22 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 280 | 93 | 33.2% | 5 | 14 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 36 | 17 | 47.2% | 5 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2023 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 14 |
| 2022 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2020 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% | 6 |
| 2018 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
Over 282 matches (Sep 2018 – Aug 2026), Vis Pesaro drew 93 where the draw model expected 89.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 85.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.