What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 18 Nov 2018 → 22 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 16 Dec 2024 → 22 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 16 Sep 2018 → 04 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 07 Sep 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 07 Oct 2023 → 18 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 12 Nov 2022 → 17 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 12 Mar 2023 → 08 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 27 Feb 2021 → 21 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 08 Sep 2019 → 07 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 07 Apr 2024 → 25 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 282 | 99 | 35.1% | 1 | 11 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2023 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 25 | 15 | 60.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 10 |
Over 285 matches (Sep 2018 – Aug 2026), Virtus Verona drew 99 where the draw model expected 89.8 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 86.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.