What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 26 Nov 2020 → 20 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 16 Sep 2023 → 02 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 05 May 2018 → 25 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 08 Dec 2015 → 27 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 15 Mar 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 01 Apr 2019 → 14 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 10 Feb 2026 → 06 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 01 May 2021 → 25 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 19 Feb 2023 → 01 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 22 Apr 2017 → 26 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 292 | 98 | 33.6% | 1 | 16 |
| Serie C | 188 | 53 | 28.2% | 0 | 13 |
| Coppa Italia | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 2025 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 4 |
| 2024 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2022 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2021 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2019 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2018 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2017 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 8 |
| 2016 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2015 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 7 |
| 2014 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 5 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 479 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Virtus Entella drew 147 where the draw model expected 148.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 148.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.