Villarreal CF
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 634 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Villarreal CF drew 162 where the draw model expected 152.7 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 158.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 25 Feb 2021 → 02 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 20 Sep 2007 → 14 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 08 Apr 2007 → 16 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 19 Feb 2017 → 06 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 09 Mar 2008 → 18 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 09 Dec 2003 → 29 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 23 Nov 2021 → 06 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 28 Jun 2020 → 05 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 19 Mar 2011 → 04 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 06 Dec 2025 → 28 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 995 | 259 | 26.0% | 5 | 22 |
| Segunda División | 164 | 52 | 31.7% | 6 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 135 | 31 | 23.0% | 3 | 9 |
| Copa del Rey | 77 | 21 | 27.3% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 8 |
| 2025 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 9 |
| 2024 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 7 |
| 2023 | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2022 | 59 | 12 | 20.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 66 | 19 | 28.8% | 16 |
| 2020 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2019 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2017 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 2016 | 56 | 18 | 32.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 60 | 16 | 26.7% | 10 |
| 2014 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2012 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 4 |
| 2011 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 11 |
| 2010 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2009 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2008 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 50 | 7 | 14.0% | 15 |
| 2006 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 8 |
| 2005 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 10 |
| 2004 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2003 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2002 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2000 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 1999 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1998 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 7 |
| 1996 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 19:00 |
Real Madrid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
Villarreal CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:15 |
Villarreal CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 19:00 |
Liverpool
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:30 |
Valencia CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 20:00 |
Villarreal CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 20:00 |
Villarreal CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Villarreal CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.