What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 30 Mar 2025 → 20 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Feb 2026 → 10 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 21 Feb 2020 → 01 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 18 May 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 Oct 2021 → 30 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 Nov 2024 → 01 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 04 Oct 2025 → 13 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 26 Sep 2020 → 13 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 20 Jan 2024 → 03 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 06 Feb 2021 → 19 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 239 | 53 | 22.2% | 2 | 16 |
| DFB-Pokal | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2025 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 17 |
| 2024 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 11 |
| 2023 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2022 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2019 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 254 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), Viktoria Köln drew 59 where the draw model expected 66.6 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 68.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.